NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT GONZ
Points 65.5 92.0
Total Points   157.5
Points From 2-Pointers 27.5 53.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.0 28.6
Points From Free Throws 9.9 10.1
Shooting PORT GONZ
Field Goals Made 23.1 36.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 64.5
Field Goal % 38.7% 56.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 26.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 64.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 41.2%
Free Throws Made 9.9 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 13.7
Free Throw % 70.9% 73.6%
Ball Control PORT GONZ
Rebounds 28.8 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 9.6
Turnovers 10.1 6.3
Blocked Shots 1.3 4.0
Steals 2.9 5.9
Fouls 12.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT GONZ
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 73.0
% of Possessions with PORT GONZ
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 51.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 29.0%
Player Fouled 20.0% 17.8%
Turnover 14.4% 9.1%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 4.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT GONZ
Shot Blocked 6.2% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 31.8%