NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT SEA
Points 66.8 79.5
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 33.7
Points From Free Throws 12.0 10.5
Shooting PORT SEA
Field Goals Made 23.6 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 63.0
Field Goal % 42.0% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 29.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 12.0 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 14.1
Free Throw % 70.9% 74.7%
Ball Control PORT SEA
Rebounds 33.7 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.5
Turnovers 10.9 8.0
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.6
Steals 3.4 5.2
Fouls 13.3 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT SEA
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 71.8
% of Possessions with PORT SEA
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 36.7%
Player Fouled 23.4% 18.9%
Turnover 15.5% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 4.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT SEA
Shot Blocked 4.1% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 26.3%