NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PORT PRST
Points 72.4 74.6
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 32.8
Points From Free Throws 14.0 10.3
Shooting PORT PRST
Field Goals Made 24.8 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 64.3
Field Goal % 45.0% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 14.0 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 14.8
Free Throw % 70.9% 69.4%
Ball Control PORT PRST
Rebounds 37.2 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 10.6
Turnovers 11.7 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.0
Steals 3.4 6.0
Fouls 13.2 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Portland St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PORT PRST
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 73.6
% of Possessions with PORT PRST
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 37.2%
Player Fouled 24.9% 18.6%
Turnover 16.4% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 4.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PORT PRST
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 26.4%