NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH NJIT
Points 73.8 70.1
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 26.1
Points From Free Throws 15.7 14.3
Shooting SH NJIT
Field Goals Made 25.7 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 60.2
Field Goal % 45.9% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 15.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 19.8
Free Throw % 70.0% 72.1%
Ball Control SH NJIT
Rebounds 34.7 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 12.9
Turnovers 10.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.5
Steals 6.9 6.0
Fouls 14.2 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH NJIT
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 72.5
% of Possessions with SH NJIT
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 30.7%
Player Fouled 22.6% 20.0%
Turnover 14.1% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH NJIT
Shot Blocked 5.9% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 32.8%