NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH LAF
Points 66.9 65.5
Total Points   132.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 24.7
Points From Free Throws 13.2 10.3
Shooting SH LAF
Field Goals Made 23.3 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 58.4
Field Goal % 41.4% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 13.2 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 15.1
Free Throw % 70.0% 68.2%
Ball Control SH LAF
Rebounds 34.7 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.2
Turnovers 10.4 12.3
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.6
Steals 7.2 5.8
Fouls 13.6 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Sacred Hrt

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH LAF
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 67.5
% of Possessions with SH LAF
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 30.0%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.5%
Turnover 14.9% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH LAF
Shot Blocked 8.0% 9.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 27.6%