NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN NEOM
Points 77.9 78.1
Total Points   156.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 17.9
Points From Free Throws 14.8 18.5
Shooting DEN NEOM
Field Goals Made 26.8 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 57.3
Field Goal % 45.8% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 14.8 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 24.7
Free Throw % 70.7% 75.0%
Ball Control DEN NEOM
Rebounds 33.8 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 8.4
Turnovers 9.1 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 4.8 4.4
Fouls 17.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN NEOM
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 71.9
% of Possessions with DEN NEOM
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 21.8%
Player Fouled 22.2% 23.7%
Turnover 12.6% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN NEOM
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 24.7%