NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH URI
Points 74.7 77.5
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 23.7
Points From Free Throws 12.4 16.9
Shooting SH URI
Field Goals Made 27.2 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 55.3
Field Goal % 45.1% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 12.4 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 25.6
Free Throw % 70.0% 66.1%
Ball Control SH URI
Rebounds 29.5 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 11.5
Turnovers 8.5 12.8
Blocked Shots 6.3 3.0
Steals 7.7 4.3
Fouls 17.3 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Sacred Hrt

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH URI
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 70.5
% of Possessions with SH URI
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 24.2%
Player Fouled 19.8% 24.1%
Turnover 11.9% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH URI
Shot Blocked 5.6% 10.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 34.4%