NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH STONE
Points 77.8 65.8
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 27.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 29.0
Points From Free Throws 12.6 9.5
Shooting SH STONE
Field Goals Made 27.9 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 57.8
Field Goal % 47.7% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 28.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 29.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 12.6 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 13.7
Free Throw % 70.0% 69.1%
Ball Control SH STONE
Rebounds 36.5 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 7.9
Turnovers 10.3 13.8
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.3
Steals 8.6 5.4
Fouls 13.4 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Sacred Hrt

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH STONE
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 65.7
% of Possessions with SH STONE
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 35.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 35.5%
Player Fouled 18.8% 18.7%
Turnover 14.4% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 12.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH STONE
Shot Blocked 4.0% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 21.9%