NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ECU USF
Points 66.3 73.6
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 29.2
Points From Free Throws 13.9 14.9
Shooting ECU USF
Field Goals Made 23.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 54.7
Field Goal % 40.2% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 27.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 13.9 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 20.5
Free Throw % 68.6% 72.6%
Ball Control ECU USF
Rebounds 35.6 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.1
Turnovers 10.1 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.2
Steals 6.3 5.6
Fouls 15.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ECU USF
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 67.5
% of Possessions with ECU USF
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 35.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 34.2%
Player Fouled 20.5% 22.5%
Turnover 14.8% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ECU USF
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 27.3%