NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAMP GW
Points 67.5 81.2
Total Points   148.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 30.1
Points From Free Throws 10.7 14.6
Shooting HAMP GW
Field Goals Made 24.8 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 66.0 62.0
Field Goal % 37.5% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.5% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 10.7 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 19.4
Free Throw % 72.7% 75.4%
Ball Control HAMP GW
Rebounds 37.3 41.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 32.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 9.4
Turnovers 9.2 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.3
Steals 4.9 6.1
Fouls 13.0 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAMP GW
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 73.4
% of Possessions with HAMP GW
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 32.4%
Player Fouled 16.7% 17.8%
Turnover 12.6% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAMP GW
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 26.0%