NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAMP CAMP
Points 69.4 72.7
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 24.4
Points From Free Throws 9.7 12.8
Shooting HAMP CAMP
Field Goals Made 25.7 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 58.2
Field Goal % 41.9% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 9.7 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 17.8
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.6%
Ball Control HAMP CAMP
Rebounds 37.3 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 7.8
Turnovers 10.6 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.0
Steals 5.3 6.1
Fouls 14.3 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Campbell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAMP CAMP
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 68.5
% of Possessions with HAMP CAMP
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 29.1%
Player Fouled 18.0% 20.3%
Turnover 15.0% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAMP CAMP
Shot Blocked 3.4% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 22.5%