NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAMP TOWS
Points 58.2 73.1
Total Points   131.3
Points From 2-Pointers 28.4 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 21.4
Points From Free Throws 12.2 13.6
Shooting HAMP TOWS
Field Goals Made 20.1 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 62.3
Field Goal % 36.3% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 40.0% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 12.2 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 20.4
Free Throw % 72.7% 66.3%
Ball Control HAMP TOWS
Rebounds 30.8 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 17.3
Turnovers 10.7 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.9
Steals 4.6 6.4
Fouls 12.8 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAMP TOWS
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 75.6
% of Possessions with HAMP TOWS
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 25.5%
Player Fouled 21.6% 19.0%
Turnover 15.9% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAMP TOWS
Shot Blocked 8.0% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 43.5%