NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOF SBON
Points 67.9 70.5
Total Points   138.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 27.0
Points From Free Throws 9.9 13.0
Shooting HOF SBON
Field Goals Made 24.3 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 55.4
Field Goal % 44.7% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 28.2 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 9.9 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 16.8
Free Throw % 73.2% 77.3%
Ball Control HOF SBON
Rebounds 30.4 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 9.1
Turnovers 10.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.3
Steals 4.5 5.7
Fouls 12.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOF SBON
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.4 65.9
% of Possessions with HOF SBON
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 30.8%
Player Fouled 19.9% 18.4%
Turnover 16.2% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOF SBON
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 27.3%