NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOF UCLA
Points 63.8 64.7
Total Points   128.5
Points From 2-Pointers 24.8 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 19.6
Points From Free Throws 10.1 13.9
Shooting HOF UCLA
Field Goals Made 22.1 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 53.8
Field Goal % 41.6% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 12.4 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 25.6 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 10.1 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 18.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 74.3%
Ball Control HOF UCLA
Rebounds 30.6 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 10.1
Turnovers 10.5 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.1
Steals 4.6 5.1
Fouls 14.5 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Hofstra

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOF UCLA
Total Possessions 65.4
Effective Scoring Chances 61.2 65.7
% of Possessions with HOF UCLA
2 Point Attempt 35.1% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 37.7% 24.6%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.2%
Turnover 16.0% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOF UCLA
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 29.3%