NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOF DEL
Points 72.1 65.0
Total Points   137.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 31.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 22.1
Points From Free Throws 8.8 11.3
Shooting HOF DEL
Field Goals Made 27.4 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 55.4
Field Goal % 47.1% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 8.8 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 12.0 16.1
Free Throw % 73.2% 70.4%
Ball Control HOF DEL
Rebounds 33.0 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 8.0
Turnovers 8.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.2
Steals 6.2 4.5
Fouls 12.5 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Hofstra

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOF DEL
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 64.9
% of Possessions with HOF DEL
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 29.1%
Player Fouled 17.8% 18.5%
Turnover 12.8% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOF DEL
Shot Blocked 4.0% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 23.0%