NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORL PORT
Points 71.6 79.8
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 25.1
Points From Free Throws 11.6 14.7
Shooting NORL PORT
Field Goals Made 26.5 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 57.4
Field Goal % 41.6% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 42.4 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 11.6 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 20.7
Free Throw % 70.6% 70.9%
Ball Control NORL PORT
Rebounds 32.3 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.3
Turnovers 8.1 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.4
Steals 6.3 3.4
Fouls 17.9 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORL PORT
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 70.1
% of Possessions with NORL PORT
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 27.1%
Player Fouled 20.5% 24.7%
Turnover 11.1% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORL PORT
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 28.8%