NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORL ULL
Points 66.9 84.8
Total Points   151.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 50.5
Points From 3-Pointers 10.2 18.2
Points From Free Throws 19.3 16.0
Shooting NORL ULL
Field Goals Made 22.1 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 61.8
Field Goal % 40.4% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 25.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.4 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 23.8% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 19.3 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 27.3 21.8
Free Throw % 70.6% 73.6%
Ball Control NORL ULL
Rebounds 31.2 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 12.5
Turnovers 13.3 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.6
Steals 6.6 6.9
Fouls 16.3 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORL ULL
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 75.5
% of Possessions with NORL ULL
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 16.5% 20.9%
Player Fouled 25.5% 21.9%
Turnover 17.9% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORL ULL
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 37.1%