NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN BALL
Points 71.5 69.8
Total Points   141.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 29.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 24.5
Points From Free Throws 11.0 15.7
Shooting EVAN BALL
Field Goals Made 26.7 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 54.1
Field Goal % 45.8% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 11.0 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 20.2
Free Throw % 69.9% 77.8%
Ball Control EVAN BALL
Rebounds 33.1 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 7.8
Turnovers 10.2 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.8
Steals 6.7 5.0
Fouls 16.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Ball St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN BALL
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 66.4
% of Possessions with EVAN BALL
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 28.1%
Player Fouled 19.0% 23.2%
Turnover 14.5% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN BALL
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 23.4%