NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN UIC
Points 66.5 71.5
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 29.9
Points From Free Throws 13.8 10.6
Shooting EVAN UIC
Field Goals Made 23.5 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 58.3
Field Goal % 41.6% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 13.8 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 15.4
Free Throw % 69.9% 68.8%
Ball Control EVAN UIC
Rebounds 35.0 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 7.5
Turnovers 11.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.1
Steals 6.4 6.4
Fouls 12.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN UIC
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 67.6
% of Possessions with EVAN UIC
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 32.7%
Player Fouled 21.8% 17.8%
Turnover 16.0% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN UIC
Shot Blocked 9.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 21.2%