NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN WIGB
Points 70.8 68.9
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 27.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 29.8
Points From Free Throws 13.0 11.3
Shooting EVAN WIGB
Field Goals Made 25.9 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 55.3
Field Goal % 47.1% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 26.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 13.0 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 15.8
Free Throw % 69.9% 71.5%
Ball Control EVAN WIGB
Rebounds 32.8 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 7.8
Turnovers 8.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.9 1.9
Steals 5.8 4.4
Fouls 13.9 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN WIGB
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 64.7
% of Possessions with EVAN WIGB
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 34.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 37.2%
Player Fouled 23.1% 20.4%
Turnover 12.8% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN WIGB
Shot Blocked 3.5% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 23.0%