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Evansville at Kentucky
Tue Nov 12, 2019
7:00pm ET
Lexington, KY
Evansville at Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Kentucky by 24.5, Total Points: 139
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | EVAN | adv | UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-0 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-12-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 10-5-0 |
Evansville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Miami (OH) | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | St. Louis College | -- | W by 70 | -- |
| 11/15 | Away | SE Missouri | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Ball St | +1.0 | W by 24 | +25.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Chattanooga | +8.5 | W by 8 | +16.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | SE Missouri | -5.5 | W by 19 | +13.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Missouri St | +11.0 | L by 12 | -1.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | N Iowa | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | BYU | +24.5 | L by 41 | -16.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Bellarmine | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | TN Martin | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | TN Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cincinnati | +18.5 | L by 18 | +0.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana St | +15.0 | L by 14 | +1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Murray St | -1.0 | L by 22 | -23.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Bradley | +13.0 | L by 36 | -23.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Drake | +17.5 | L by 49 | -31.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Iowa | +13.5 | L by 7 | +6.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Illinois St | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | IL-Chicago | (Pick) | W by 17 | +17.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Valparaiso | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Bradley | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Murray St | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Drake | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Illinois St | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | S Illinois | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Indiana St | +10.5 | L by 18 | -7.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Belmont | +11.0 | L by 17 | -6.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Illinois St | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Drake | +14.0 | L by 21 | -7.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Quinnipiac | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Seattle | +8.5 | L by 14 | -5.5 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Mex State | -15.0 | W by 40 | +25.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -29.0 | W by 20 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Stonehill | -37.5 | W by 34 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | St Josephs | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Marshall | -18.5 | W by 36 | +17.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Miami | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -18.0 | L by 7 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | U Penn | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Illinois St | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miss State | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Arkansas | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Florida | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Tennessee | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Gonzaga | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | W by 11 | +19.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Miss State | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.0 | W by 16 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tennessee | +8.5 | W by 4 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| UK -24.5 | Open | -25.5 | High | -25.5 |
| Last | -25.0 | Low | -24.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 240 games where the closing line favored the home team by 23.5 to 25.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Kentucky won the game 234 times (97.5%).
- The team like Evansville won the game 6 times (2.5%).
- The team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 119-118-3 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2541 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 1278-1216-47 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -24.5 | -24.5 | -25.0 |
| Open | -25.0 | -25.0 | -25.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/12 07:04 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/12 06:58 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 03:39 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 02:14 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 11/12 02:06 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 02:04 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 11/12 01:55 PM | -- | -- | -25.0 |
| 11/12 01:15 PM | -- | -- | -25.5 |
| 11/12 01:12 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 09:40 AM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 08:13 AM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 11:05 PM | -- | -- | -25.0 |
| 11/11 10:34 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
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