NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIAG MONM
Points 70.1 73.9
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 43.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 16.1
Points From Free Throws 14.8 13.9
Shooting NIAG MONM
Field Goals Made 24.1 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 57.3
Field Goal % 45.1% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 15.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 14.8 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 19.5
Free Throw % 74.1% 71.6%
Ball Control NIAG MONM
Rebounds 31.8 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.3
Turnovers 11.3 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.5
Steals 4.4 6.9
Fouls 13.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIAG MONM
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 69.3
% of Possessions with NIAG MONM
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 53.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 19.5%
Player Fouled 23.2% 19.6%
Turnover 16.4% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIAG MONM
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 28.1%