NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PENN BRWN
Points 71.1 75.3
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 29.3
Points From Free Throws 11.6 11.8
Shooting PENN BRWN
Field Goals Made 25.8 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 59.1
Field Goal % 43.7% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 11.6 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 18.1
Free Throw % 70.2% 65.0%
Ball Control PENN BRWN
Rebounds 34.6 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.7
Turnovers 9.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.5
Steals 5.4 4.6
Fouls 14.1 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Brown

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PENN BRWN
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 70.6
% of Possessions with PENN BRWN
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 33.5%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.5%
Turnover 13.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PENN BRWN
Shot Blocked 6.0% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 29.9%