NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR DRKE
Points 69.0 78.6
Total Points   147.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 29.1
Points From Free Throws 11.9 12.9
Shooting MURR DRKE
Field Goals Made 25.4 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 55.6
Field Goal % 45.4% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 40.3%
Free Throws Made 11.9 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 17.3
Free Throw % 68.9% 74.8%
Ball Control MURR DRKE
Rebounds 30.9 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 6.6
Turnovers 9.4 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 1.6
Steals 5.0 4.8
Fouls 15.1 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR DRKE
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 66.0
% of Possessions with MURR DRKE
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 31.7%
Player Fouled 20.1% 22.0%
Turnover 13.7% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR DRKE
Shot Blocked 3.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 21.8%