NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR SIUE
Points 75.1 65.7
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 24.5
Points From Free Throws 14.8 10.8
Shooting MURR SIUE
Field Goals Made 26.4 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 56.9
Field Goal % 49.0% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 14.8 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 14.7
Free Throw % 68.9% 73.2%
Ball Control MURR SIUE
Rebounds 34.5 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.9
Turnovers 8.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.6
Steals 5.3 4.6
Fouls 13.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR SIUE
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 65.9
% of Possessions with MURR SIUE
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 30.9%
Player Fouled 22.1% 19.5%
Turnover 13.0% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR SIUE
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 25.1%