NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR SEMO
Points 77.0 61.6
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 45.1 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 19.1
Points From Free Throws 16.9 8.9
Shooting MURR SEMO
Field Goals Made 27.6 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 56.5
Field Goal % 52.0% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 60.8% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 16.9 8.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 12.5
Free Throw % 68.9% 70.6%
Ball Control MURR SEMO
Rebounds 35.8 29.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 21.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.9
Turnovers 8.7 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.2
Steals 6.1 3.8
Fouls 13.1 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR SEMO
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 64.4
% of Possessions with MURR SEMO
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 26.2%
Player Fouled 25.3% 19.3%
Turnover 12.8% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR SEMO
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 22.6%