NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULL LT
Points 66.1 71.3
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 14.6
Points From Free Throws 13.0 19.5
Shooting ULL LT
Field Goals Made 23.2 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 53.0
Field Goal % 38.6% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 13.0 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 27.7
Free Throw % 73.6% 70.3%
Ball Control ULL LT
Rebounds 31.6 41.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 12.4
Turnovers 10.5 13.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.7
Steals 7.4 6.6
Fouls 17.4 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULL LT
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 70.6
% of Possessions with ULL LT
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 19.5%
Player Fouled 18.8% 24.5%
Turnover 14.8% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULL LT
Shot Blocked 8.9% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 36.2%