NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULL WYO
Points 75.3 72.5
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 16.3
Points From Free Throws 11.5 19.7
Shooting ULL WYO
Field Goals Made 28.4 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 51.4
Field Goal % 45.8% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 11.5 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 26.2
Free Throw % 73.6% 75.2%
Ball Control ULL WYO
Rebounds 32.5 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.1
Turnovers 9.8 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.2
Steals 8.4 5.0
Fouls 19.0 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Louisiana

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULL WYO
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 67.2
% of Possessions with ULL WYO
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 22.0%
Player Fouled 18.2% 26.7%
Turnover 13.8% 18.4%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 11.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULL WYO
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 29.2%