NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULL TCU
Points 69.9 80.1
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 45.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 14.6
Points From Free Throws 13.1 19.7
Shooting ULL TCU
Field Goals Made 25.5 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 56.8
Field Goal % 43.5% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 13.1 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 27.1
Free Throw % 73.6% 72.7%
Ball Control ULL TCU
Rebounds 29.2 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.2 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 13.1
Turnovers 13.4 12.9
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.1
Steals 6.9 8.4
Fouls 17.0 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULL TCU
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 74.1
% of Possessions with ULL TCU
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 17.8%
Player Fouled 19.4% 23.1%
Turnover 18.1% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULL TCU
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 39.3%