NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ULL ULM
Points 79.3 67.9
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 10.9
Points From Free Throws 14.8 17.7
Shooting ULL ULM
Field Goals Made 28.0 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 54.4
Field Goal % 48.2% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 59.2% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 3.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 14.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 25.3%
Free Throws Made 14.8 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 26.5
Free Throw % 73.6% 66.8%
Ball Control ULL ULM
Rebounds 33.5 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.1
Turnovers 10.6 12.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 1.8
Steals 6.8 6.3
Fouls 17.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: UL Monroe

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ULL ULM
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 71.1
% of Possessions with ULL ULM
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 16.8%
Player Fouled 22.0% 24.3%
Turnover 14.7% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ULL ULM
Shot Blocked 3.3% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 33.5%