NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLG BUCK
Points 65.9 59.5
Total Points   125.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 27.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 23.7
Points From Free Throws 10.9 8.7
Shooting COLG BUCK
Field Goals Made 24.0 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 55.2
Field Goal % 43.8% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 13.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 10.9 8.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 12.4
Free Throw % 66.6% 70.3%
Ball Control COLG BUCK
Rebounds 36.2 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.9
Turnovers 8.8 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.7
Steals 5.8 5.2
Fouls 11.5 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLG BUCK
Total Possessions 65.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 62.7
% of Possessions with COLG BUCK
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 35.1%
Player Fouled 20.3% 17.8%
Turnover 13.6% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLG BUCK
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 22.3%