NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WRST WKU
Points 88.8 87.4
Total Points   176.1
Points From 2-Pointers 49.0 49.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 23.5
Points From Free Throws 16.6 14.3
Shooting WRST WKU
Field Goals Made 32.2 32.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 64.2
Field Goal % 52.4% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 24.5 24.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.5% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 16.6 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 19.7
Free Throw % 75.6% 72.7%
Ball Control WRST WKU
Rebounds 32.8 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.3
Turnovers 12.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.9
Steals 6.1 7.8
Fouls 14.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wright St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WRST WKU
Total Possessions 79.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.7 76.4
% of Possessions with WRST WKU
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 23.4%
Player Fouled 22.1% 18.7%
Turnover 15.2% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WRST WKU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 26.8%