NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLG BU
Points 67.6 59.1
Total Points   126.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 27.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 21.9
Points From Free Throws 11.7 9.7
Shooting COLG BU
Field Goals Made 24.1 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 56.8
Field Goal % 45.7% 37.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 11.7 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 13.5
Free Throw % 66.6% 72.2%
Ball Control COLG BU
Rebounds 35.4 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 8.6
Turnovers 9.4 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.7
Steals 5.9 5.5
Fouls 11.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLG BU
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.2 65.0
% of Possessions with COLG BU
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 31.9%
Player Fouled 20.9% 17.0%
Turnover 14.2% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLG BU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 22.9%