NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COLG AUB
Points 57.4 78.1
Total Points   135.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.9 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 22.8
Points From Free Throws 13.3 14.5
Shooting COLG AUB
Field Goals Made 19.5 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 59.3
Field Goal % 35.0% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 38.0% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.7 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 13.3 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 19.4
Free Throw % 66.6% 74.8%
Ball Control COLG AUB
Rebounds 32.9 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.2
Turnovers 11.3 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.3 5.8
Steals 5.5 6.4
Fouls 13.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Auburn

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COLG AUB
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 71.2
% of Possessions with COLG AUB
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 28.1%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.9%
Turnover 16.3% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken COLG AUB
Shot Blocked 10.0% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 29.9%