NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAW CSB
Points 69.3 64.6
Total Points   133.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.9 41.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 9.9
Points From Free Throws 20.2 13.6
Shooting HAW CSB
Field Goals Made 21.2 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 46.3 56.0
Field Goal % 45.8% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 27.2 45.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 3.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 11.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 20.2 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 27.8 18.7
Free Throw % 72.5% 73.0%
Ball Control HAW CSB
Rebounds 32.7 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 9.3
Turnovers 12.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.1
Steals 3.9 6.0
Fouls 15.7 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: Hawaii

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAW CSB
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.1 67.8
% of Possessions with HAW CSB
2 Point Attempt 35.5% 57.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 13.9%
Player Fouled 29.4% 22.8%
Turnover 18.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAW CSB
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 26.4%