NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-IL MOSU
Points 70.6 65.9
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 17.4
Points From Free Throws 11.7 15.0
Shooting L-IL MOSU
Field Goals Made 25.2 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 57.4
Field Goal % 40.7% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 11.7 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 21.3
Free Throw % 67.6% 70.3%
Ball Control L-IL MOSU
Rebounds 37.4 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.7
Turnovers 9.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 6.1 5.3
Steals 6.7 4.2
Fouls 17.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-Chi

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-IL MOSU
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 69.6
% of Possessions with L-IL MOSU
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 23.0%
Player Fouled 20.2% 24.0%
Turnover 12.8% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-IL MOSU
Shot Blocked 9.6% 10.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 25.6%