NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-IL DEP
Points 79.3 62.4
Total Points   141.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 29.3
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 16.8
Points From Free Throws 11.8 16.3
Shooting L-IL DEP
Field Goals Made 28.8 20.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 51.1
Field Goal % 49.2% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 42.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 11.8 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 22.1
Free Throw % 67.6% 73.8%
Ball Control L-IL DEP
Rebounds 36.1 30.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 6.3
Turnovers 10.3 13.3
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.3
Steals 8.1 5.2
Fouls 19.0 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-Chi

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-IL DEP
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 63.7
% of Possessions with L-IL DEP
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 21.1%
Player Fouled 19.4% 26.8%
Turnover 14.6% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-IL DEP
Shot Blocked 6.7% 9.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 18.8%