NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-IL VALP
Points 75.7 61.8
Total Points   137.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 19.7
Points From Free Throws 12.9 11.4
Shooting L-IL VALP
Field Goals Made 27.5 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 58.6
Field Goal % 48.3% 37.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 39.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 12.9 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 16.2
Free Throw % 67.6% 70.2%
Ball Control L-IL VALP
Rebounds 40.1 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 30.8 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 8.2
Turnovers 11.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.1
Steals 6.7 5.5
Fouls 15.7 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-Chi

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-IL VALP
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 68.3
% of Possessions with L-IL VALP
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 25.0%
Player Fouled 21.5% 22.2%
Turnover 16.5% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-IL VALP
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 21.1%