NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-IL EVAN
Points 72.7 62.5
Total Points   135.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.0 17.9
Points From Free Throws 12.9 13.3
Shooting L-IL EVAN
Field Goals Made 25.4 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 55.0
Field Goal % 45.2% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 42.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 12.9 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 19.0
Free Throw % 67.6% 69.9%
Ball Control L-IL EVAN
Rebounds 38.1 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 6.6
Turnovers 12.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.1 3.5
Steals 7.5 6.2
Fouls 17.3 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-Chi

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-IL EVAN
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 65.7
% of Possessions with L-IL EVAN
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 22.6%
Player Fouled 21.4% 24.3%
Turnover 16.9% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-IL EVAN
Shot Blocked 6.6% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 18.3%