NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FOR SLU
Points 76.9 74.3
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 19.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 21.0
Shooting FOR SLU
Field Goals Made 26.0 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 50.5
Field Goal % 42.4% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 15.4 21.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 28.0
Free Throw % 67.2% 75.1%
Ball Control FOR SLU
Rebounds 36.1 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 7.0
Turnovers 9.0 12.5
Blocked Shots 5.8 2.8
Steals 7.5 4.9
Fouls 19.2 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Saint Louis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FOR SLU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 75.5 66.5
% of Possessions with FOR SLU
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 19.8%
Player Fouled 22.5% 26.6%
Turnover 12.4% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FOR SLU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 9.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 23.0%