NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI SLU
Points 79.5 82.5
Total Points   161.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 26.7
Points From Free Throws 16.8 15.9
Shooting URI SLU
Field Goals Made 27.4 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 58.7
Field Goal % 49.1% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 16.8 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 21.2
Free Throw % 66.1% 75.1%
Ball Control URI SLU
Rebounds 33.5 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.4
Turnovers 9.5 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.1
Steals 4.4 5.6
Fouls 16.0 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI SLU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 71.2
% of Possessions with URI SLU
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 28.7%
Player Fouled 24.3% 22.5%
Turnover 13.3% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI SLU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 25.8%