NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI SBON
Points 68.6 80.4
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 25.6
Points From Free Throws 15.0 14.6
Shooting URI SBON
Field Goals Made 23.5 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 59.2
Field Goal % 45.0% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 15.0 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 18.9
Free Throw % 66.1% 77.3%
Ball Control URI SBON
Rebounds 32.2 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.4
Turnovers 12.1 7.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.5
Steals 3.3 6.5
Fouls 14.4 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI SBON
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 70.8
% of Possessions with URI SBON
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 28.8%
Player Fouled 23.7% 20.8%
Turnover 17.6% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 4.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI SBON
Shot Blocked 9.4% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 28.4%