NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSU BSU
Points 68.9 69.1
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 19.8
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.2
Shooting CSU BSU
Field Goals Made 24.9 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 56.0
Field Goal % 48.0% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 60.1% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 20.5
Free Throw % 74.7% 74.3%
Ball Control CSU BSU
Rebounds 29.6 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 5.4 11.0
Turnovers 9.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.9
Steals 4.6 4.6
Fouls 15.3 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSU BSU
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 62.6 68.7
% of Possessions with CSU BSU
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 25.4%
Player Fouled 24.1% 22.9%
Turnover 14.6% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSU BSU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.4% 31.4%