NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FOR GW
Points 74.9 73.8
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 21.5
Points From Free Throws 11.7 19.5
Shooting FOR GW
Field Goals Made 26.9 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 68.1 53.1
Field Goal % 39.5% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 28.3 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 11.7 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 25.9
Free Throw % 67.2% 75.4%
Ball Control FOR GW
Rebounds 40.0 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 6.6
Turnovers 8.8 12.7
Blocked Shots 6.0 3.7
Steals 7.5 4.9
Fouls 16.9 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Geo Wshgtn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FOR GW
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 78.8 67.7
% of Possessions with FOR GW
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 22.8%
Player Fouled 18.1% 22.9%
Turnover 12.0% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FOR GW
Shot Blocked 7.2% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 20.4%