NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VCU LAS
Points 73.9 61.9
Total Points   135.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 29.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 22.0
Points From Free Throws 15.7 10.8
Shooting VCU LAS
Field Goals Made 25.1 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 59.5
Field Goal % 44.9% 36.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 40.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 15.7 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 15.1
Free Throw % 77.2% 71.6%
Ball Control VCU LAS
Rebounds 40.1 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.6 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 8.9
Turnovers 9.1 9.0
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.2
Steals 5.0 5.7
Fouls 13.0 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VCU LAS
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 68.1
% of Possessions with VCU LAS
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 30.0%
Player Fouled 21.5% 19.1%
Turnover 13.4% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken VCU LAS
Shot Blocked 3.7% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 22.5%