NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VCU STJOE
Points 70.3 66.4
Total Points   136.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 27.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 26.2
Points From Free Throws 13.3 12.7
Shooting VCU STJOE
Field Goals Made 24.1 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 57.7
Field Goal % 42.8% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 13.3 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 17.7
Free Throw % 77.2% 71.9%
Ball Control VCU STJOE
Rebounds 37.1 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 9.7
Turnovers 10.9 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.8 2.5
Steals 6.5 6.8
Fouls 13.8 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VCU STJOE
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 68.1
% of Possessions with VCU STJOE
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 34.8%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.1%
Turnover 15.8% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken VCU STJOE
Shot Blocked 4.5% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 26.0%