NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI STJOE
Points 71.0 83.4
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 33.1
Points From Free Throws 13.5 12.6
Shooting URI STJOE
Field Goals Made 25.3 29.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 62.4
Field Goal % 44.2% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 13.5 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 17.5
Free Throw % 66.1% 71.9%
Ball Control URI STJOE
Rebounds 35.1 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.9
Turnovers 11.7 8.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.4
Steals 4.4 7.0
Fouls 14.4 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI STJOE
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 72.8
% of Possessions with URI STJOE
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 36.8%
Player Fouled 20.5% 20.4%
Turnover 16.4% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI STJOE
Shot Blocked 8.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 28.3%