NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VCU MASS
Points 70.2 65.8
Total Points   135.9
Points From 2-Pointers 29.4 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 17.5
Points From Free Throws 16.8 15.2
Shooting VCU MASS
Field Goals Made 22.7 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 57.2
Field Goal % 42.8% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 27.6%
Free Throws Made 16.8 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 22.2
Free Throw % 77.2% 68.2%
Ball Control VCU MASS
Rebounds 35.5 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.6
Turnovers 11.2 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.0
Steals 6.2 6.8
Fouls 15.2 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: U Mass

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VCU MASS
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 71.2
% of Possessions with VCU MASS
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 25.7%
Player Fouled 23.4% 22.1%
Turnover 16.3% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken VCU MASS
Shot Blocked 3.5% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 32.5%