NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI FOR
Points 70.1 76.2
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.7 26.8
Points From Free Throws 19.8 13.7
Shooting URI FOR
Field Goals Made 22.5 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 49.4 63.5
Field Goal % 45.6% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 27.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 19.8 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 30.0 20.4
Free Throw % 66.1% 67.2%
Ball Control URI FOR
Rebounds 35.7 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 12.8
Turnovers 13.4 8.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 7.3
Steals 3.9 7.7
Fouls 15.6 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Fordham

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI FOR
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 76.2
% of Possessions with URI FOR
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 17.3% 32.2%
Player Fouled 27.7% 21.7%
Turnover 18.7% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI FOR
Shot Blocked 11.6% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 31.6%