NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring URI DAV
Points 68.4 76.4
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 23.5
Points From Free Throws 15.5 13.9
Shooting URI DAV
Field Goals Made 23.2 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 59.3
Field Goal % 43.5% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 18.8
Free Throw % 66.1% 73.6%
Ball Control URI DAV
Rebounds 34.9 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.9
Turnovers 11.6 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 5.3
Steals 4.3 6.4
Fouls 15.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats URI DAV
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 70.6
% of Possessions with URI DAV
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 30.8%
Player Fouled 23.3% 22.4%
Turnover 16.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken URI DAV
Shot Blocked 9.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 25.6%